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Red284
4795174.4
1425202.2
6846108.7
Blue463
4265172.0
5026163.7
5458139.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342347300320360380400420440460284463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#18
202.20.3
205.3205.6
Auto20.9
Teleop144.1
End34.8
red by 30.2
4265
#10
172.01.4
163.6165.1
Auto20.3
Teleop131.0
End24.1
Second
4795
#25
174.40.7
172.6173.3
Auto23.0
Teleop130.2
End21.3
red by 10.7
163.70.4
160.7160.2
Auto24.4
Teleop122.9
End19.6
Third
6846
#48
108.70.9
105.6106.5
Auto18.8
Teleop80.6
End9.8
blue by 30.9
5458
#43
139.60.7
131.8132.5
Auto19.1
Teleop100.5
End23.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
38%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsEarned