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Red437
2928151.4
4911189.0
343148.3
Blue296
6413114.8
1410155.3
6800163.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39528802006008001,000437296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
189.01.1
183.0184.2
Auto22.9
Teleop139.8
End29.1
red by 25.8
6800
#31
163.20.9
160.4161.2
Auto22.2
Teleop129.8
End10.9
Second
2928
#22
151.40.2
148.3148.6
Auto20.8
Teleop107.5
End26.3
blue by 3.9
1410
#24
155.31.0
151.4152.3
Auto18.8
Teleop114.8
End22.3
Third
343
#16
148.30.3
146.1145.9
Auto21.2
Teleop119.9
End8.5
red by 33.5
6413
#45
114.81.0
111.6112.6
Auto19.9
Teleop75.3
End22.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsEarned7%Face the Boss oddsMissed