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Red181
3753139.7
3834117.4
5499145.5
Blue351
7111118.5
6846108.7
1421173.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301306200250350400181351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5499
#50
145.51.0
148.4147.4
Auto21.4
Teleop111.1
End13.7
blue by 27.5
1421
#34
173.00.3
172.6172.4
Auto18.7
Teleop124.5
End30.0
Second
3753
#32
139.70.0
141.8141.8
Auto18.0
Teleop111.7
End6.7
red by 21.2
7111
#26
118.50.6
116.3116.9
Auto18.6
Teleop88.8
End12.6
Third
3834
#57
117.40.5
119.9119.5
Auto16.1
Teleop86.8
End11.7
red by 8.7
6846
#48
108.70.6
106.5107.2
Auto18.8
Teleop80.6
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed