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Red288
801141.9
5006158.5
1477166.3
Blue424
418152.8
1414180.6
100128.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35132702004006008001,000288424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#47
166.30.5
165.5166.0
Auto19.2
Teleop124.5
End20.6
blue by 14.2
180.61.2
175.6176.8
Auto23.7
Teleop134.7
End24.6
Second
5006
#46
158.50.7
158.2158.9
Auto19.1
Teleop109.6
End27.7
red by 5.7
418
#20
152.80.3
152.0151.7
Auto21.9
Teleop125.0
End6.6
Third
801
#37
141.91.0
141.1142.1
Auto19.3
Teleop101.1
End20.2
red by 13.7
100
#40
128.20.2
125.7126.0
Auto16.1
Teleop97.8
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsMissed79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed