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Red189
1425202.2
1769112.0
6902115.2
Blue294
4013125.1
108135.0
2415146.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320326200250300350400189294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#18
202.20.0
205.6205.6
Auto20.9
Teleop144.1
End34.8
red by 56.2
2415
#39
146.01.4
143.5144.9
Auto21.7
Teleop112.4
End13.1
Second
6902
#67
115.21.8
119.5117.6
Auto16.6
Teleop82.1
End14.7
blue by 19.8
108
#62
135.00.7
134.6135.2
Auto18.0
Teleop110.5
End4.5
Third
1769
#64
112.00.9
116.4115.6
Auto17.0
Teleop86.4
End5.7
blue by 13.1
4013
#68
125.10.1
125.6125.5
Auto17.8
Teleop91.3
End17.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
43%Face the Boss oddsMissed1%Face the Boss oddsMissed