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Red464
6502181.7
1690197.5
16206.0
Blue291
175185.5
4795174.4
683299.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463252100200300400600700800900464291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#3
206.01.2
202.8204.0
Auto25.6
Teleop149.0
End29.3
red by 20.6
175
#23
185.50.6
185.8185.2
Auto21.9
Teleop133.1
End31.3
Second
1690
#2DQ
197.52.3
190.4192.7
Auto22.5
Teleop153.7
End23.8
red by 23.1
4795
#25
174.40.1
173.6173.7
Auto23.0
Teleop130.2
End21.3
Third
6502
#11
181.71.3
178.9180.2
Auto22.6
Teleop141.5
End16.7
red by 82.4
6832
#42
99.30.7
98.198.8
Auto16.1
Teleop78.7
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
59%Face the Boss oddsMissed25%Face the Boss oddsMissed