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Red423
3145141.8
2556158.7
5026163.7
Blue249
1421173.0
6413114.8
5829116.5
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4062410100200300500600700800423249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.71.1
160.9162.1
Auto24.4
Teleop122.9
End19.6
blue by 9.3
1421
#34
173.00.1
172.4172.4
Auto18.7
Teleop124.5
End30.0
Second
2556
#44
158.71.1
156.5157.7
Auto17.3
Teleop119.1
End24.0
red by 42.1
5829
#59
116.50.3
116.6116.3
Auto16.1
Teleop89.4
End12.4
Third
3145
#51
141.80.6
142.8142.2
Auto19.6
Teleop104.8
End19.3
red by 27.0
6413
#45
114.81.0
112.6113.6
Auto19.9
Teleop75.3
End22.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned