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Red438
1538170.4
2659158.6
597139.5
Blue289
2102143.3
3128149.7
3882148.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions391305100200500600438289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.41.2
168.0169.2
Auto17.7
Teleop132.2
End24.0
red by 20.8
149.71.4
147.1148.5
Auto18.8
Teleop110.8
End22.7
Second
158.61.4
155.7157.1
Auto25.0
Teleop116.2
End21.1
red by 10.2
3882
#45
148.40.9
146.8147.6
Auto18.7
Teleop108.0
End22.1
Third
597
#26
139.50.5
138.4138.9
Auto17.4
Teleop109.3
End14.5
blue by 3.8
2102
#37
143.31.2
141.1142.3
Auto19.9
Teleop105.1
End21.5