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Red328
1538170.4
2659158.6
597139.5
Blue318
2102143.3
3128149.7
3882148.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions399300100200500600328318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.41.2
169.2170.4
Auto17.7
Teleop132.2
End24.0
red by 20.8
149.71.2
148.5149.7
Auto18.8
Teleop110.8
End22.7
Second
158.61.4
157.1158.6
Auto25.0
Teleop116.2
End21.1
red by 10.2
3882
#45
148.40.7
147.6148.4
Auto18.7
Teleop108.0
End22.1
Third
597
#26
139.50.6
138.9139.5
Auto17.4
Teleop109.3
End14.5
blue by 3.8
2102
#37
143.31.0
142.3143.3
Auto19.9
Teleop105.1
End21.5