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Red472
1538170.4
2659158.6
597139.5
Blue192
5012135.9
4201142.1
2543123.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions399216100300500600472192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.41.2
164.4165.6
Auto17.7
Teleop132.2
End24.0
red by 28.3
4201
#14
142.10.5
142.6142.1
Auto17.5
Teleop112.4
End11.0
Second
158.61.6
151.1152.7
Auto25.0
Teleop116.2
End21.1
red by 22.7
5012
#20
135.90.4
136.3135.9
Auto16.6
Teleop103.6
End14.1
Third
597
#26
139.50.3
137.2137.5
Auto17.4
Teleop109.3
End14.5
red by 15.7
2543
#40
123.90.0
123.9123.9
Auto14.6
Teleop94.6
End13.6