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Red395
1538170.4
2659158.6
597139.5
Blue254
624170.6
3255164.7
5429144.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365328200250300400450500550395254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.41.2
166.8168.0
Auto17.7
Teleop132.2
End24.0
blue by 0.2
624
#12
170.60.1
170.5170.6
Auto20.6
Teleop129.3
End19.3
Second
158.61.5
154.2155.7
Auto25.0
Teleop116.2
End21.1
blue by 6.1
164.70.6
164.0164.7
Auto20.9
Teleop120.3
End26.2
Third
597
#26
139.50.5
137.9138.4
Auto17.4
Teleop109.3
End14.5
blue by 5.4
5429
#16
144.90.0
144.9144.9
Auto16.4
Teleop107.2
End21.9