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Red260
3647154.3
3749136.1
4486143.9
Blue609
624170.6
3255164.7
5429144.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332367100200300400500600260609

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#11
154.30.8
152.8153.6
Auto15.8
Teleop116.8
End24.9
blue by 16.4
624
#12
170.60.2
169.6169.8
Auto20.6
Teleop129.3
End19.3
Second
4486
#18
143.90.8
142.5143.3
Auto16.7
Teleop107.0
End22.1
blue by 20.7
164.71.0
161.1162.1
Auto20.9
Teleop120.3
End26.2
Third
136.11.5
133.4134.9
Auto17.3
Teleop103.3
End17.6
blue by 8.8
5429
#16
144.90.0
144.6144.6
Auto16.4
Teleop107.2
End21.9