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Red271
2984132.7
1572153.9
3256140.4
Blue450
2102143.3
3128149.7
3882148.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356343200300400500600271450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.91.7
150.6152.4
Auto19.7
Teleop116.4
End21.2
red by 4.2
149.71.3
144.4145.8
Auto18.8
Teleop110.8
End22.7
Second
3256
#21
140.40.8
138.9139.8
Auto19.4
Teleop108.9
End12.7
blue by 7.9
3882
#45
148.40.7
145.3146.0
Auto18.7
Teleop108.0
End22.1
Third
2984
#13
132.71.0
130.9131.9
Auto18.4
Teleop102.6
End13.5
blue by 10.6
2102
#37
143.31.1
139.0140.0
Auto19.9
Teleop105.1
End21.5