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Red274
3647154.3
3749136.1
4486143.9
Blue464
624170.6
3255164.7
5429144.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324375100200300400500600274464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#11
154.30.7
153.6154.3
Auto15.8
Teleop116.8
End24.9
blue by 16.4
624
#12
170.60.3
169.8170.1
Auto20.6
Teleop129.3
End19.3
Second
4486
#18
143.90.6
143.3143.9
Auto16.7
Teleop107.0
End22.1
blue by 20.7
164.71.0
162.1163.0
Auto20.9
Teleop120.3
End26.2
Third
136.11.2
134.9136.1
Auto17.3
Teleop103.3
End17.6
blue by 8.8
5429
#16
144.90.1
144.6144.7
Auto16.4
Teleop107.2
End21.9