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Red257
2658137.7
2839153.5
3021132.5
Blue404
2984132.7
1572153.9
3256140.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358323100200400500600257404

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.51.6
151.9153.5
Auto21.2
Teleop102.0
End36.5
blue by 0.3
153.91.8
147.0148.8
Auto19.7
Teleop116.4
End21.2
Second
137.70.6
137.1137.7
Auto18.3
Teleop105.4
End12.6
blue by 2.7
3256
#21
140.40.8
137.3138.1
Auto19.4
Teleop108.9
End12.7
Third
3021
#25
132.50.7
131.8132.5
Auto14.9
Teleop102.1
End17.5
blue by 0.2
2984
#13
132.71.0
128.9129.8
Auto18.4
Teleop102.6
End13.5