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Red293
2485147.5
4984143.9
1622148.5
Blue423
2102143.3
3128149.7
3882148.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383328100200300500600293423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#24
148.50.9
146.9147.8
Auto16.2
Teleop107.6
End28.4
blue by 1.1
149.71.6
139.6141.2
Auto18.8
Teleop110.8
End22.7
Second
2485
#10
147.51.0
145.6146.7
Auto22.1
Teleop111.0
End14.2
blue by 0.8
3882
#45
148.40.8
142.9143.6
Auto18.7
Teleop108.0
End22.1
Third
143.91.1
141.8142.9
Auto17.1
Teleop105.5
End24.0
red by 0.6
2102
#37
143.31.3
135.1136.4
Auto19.9
Teleop105.1
End21.5