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Qual 122018 San Diego Regional presented by Qualcomm
Red246
3341122.7
6659111.3
6920104.8
Blue136
5514107.0
6755100.2
3965124.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276252100150200300350400450500246136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3341
#19
122.714.6
82.3→96.9
Auto15.5
Teleop92.1
End18.2
blue by 1.9
3965
#28
124.610.5
92.0→102.5
Auto17.2
Teleop91.9
End15.6
Second
6659
#22
111.310.0
78.1→88.0
Auto14.3
Teleop89.1
End9.6
red by 4.3
5514
#63
107.07.2
86.9→94.1
Auto13.5
Teleop83.2
End9.5
Third
6920
#43
104.811.9
77.7→89.7
Auto13.7
Teleop84.6
End4.8
red by 4.6
6755
#36
100.28.0
77.4→85.4
Auto16.1
Teleop78.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed