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Red51
3045108.9
2613116.4
1661102.6
Blue315
3128149.7
4738121.7
4201142.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions257315010020040050060051315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2613
#29
116.412.5
87.399.8
Auto14.1
Teleop90.7
End12.5
blue by 33.2
149.710.2
99.7110.0
Auto18.8
Teleop110.8
End22.7
Second
3045
#49
108.910.7
92.4103.0
Auto14.4
Teleop87.1
End3.8
blue by 33.3
4201
#14
142.111.3
110.8122.1
Auto17.5
Teleop112.4
End11.0
Third
1661
#50
102.65.8
103.4109.2
Auto15.2
Teleop83.8
End5.3
blue by 19.1
4738
#55
121.78.3
91.499.7
Auto17.5
Teleop94.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed