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Qual 142018 San Diego Regional presented by Qualcomm
Red105
4270119.4
3256140.4
5199118.3
Blue423
3255164.7
4160124.5
1538170.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2863390100200400500600105423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3256
#21
140.410.6
109.6→120.2
Auto19.4
Teleop108.9
End12.7
blue by 30.0
1538
#7
170.410.1
125.6→135.7
Auto17.7
Teleop132.2
End24.0
Second
4270
#46
119.413.0
91.1→104.1
Auto15.3
Teleop87.5
End18.0
blue by 45.2
3255
#5
164.78.4
120.4→128.9
Auto20.9
Teleop120.3
End26.2
Third
5199
#52
118.39.6
103.4→113.0
Auto15.8
Teleop86.5
End15.8
blue by 6.2
4160
#32
124.513.6
90.7→104.2
Auto13.1
Teleop100.9
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed