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Red366
624170.6
6515108.5
2485147.5
Blue290
3953129.5
5209120.7
2839153.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295267100200400500366290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#12
170.69.1
123.2132.3
Auto20.6
Teleop129.3
End19.3
red by 17.1
153.58.2
92.8101.0
Auto21.2
Teleop102.0
End36.5
Second
2485
#10
147.57.9
102.4110.3
Auto22.1
Teleop111.0
End14.2
red by 18.0
3953
#17
129.513.3
86.299.5
Auto14.6
Teleop97.7
End17.7
Third
6515
#41
108.56.6
85.191.7
Auto14.7
Teleop88.7
End4.0
blue by 12.1
5209
#53
120.710.6
87.798.2
Auto17.4
Teleop87.1
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned