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Red260
4616101.4
682197.9
2658137.7
Blue113
370493.0
3128149.7
6755100.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269251100150200300350400450260113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
137.712.8
97.4110.3
Auto18.3
Teleop105.4
End12.6
blue by 11.9
149.77.1
110.0117.1
Auto18.8
Teleop110.8
End22.7
Second
4616
#35
101.49.3
82.391.6
Auto15.7
Teleop79.6
End5.7
red by 1.2
6755
#36
100.23.1
85.488.5
Auto16.1
Teleop78.0
End4.9
Third
6821
#58
97.95.5
88.894.3
Auto14.9
Teleop80.7
End1.0
red by 4.9
3704
#65
93.05.1
90.395.4
Auto13.3
Teleop74.6
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed