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Red398
3255164.7
3965124.6
4738121.7
Blue296
4984143.9
1572153.9
2827119.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284311100200400500398296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.77.9
128.9136.8
Auto20.9
Teleop120.3
End26.2
red by 10.8
153.95.9
118.0123.9
Auto19.7
Teleop116.4
End21.2
Second
3965
#28
124.64.7
102.5107.3
Auto17.2
Teleop91.9
End15.6
blue by 19.3
143.911.1
103.6114.8
Auto17.1
Teleop105.5
End24.0
Third
4738
#55
121.75.8
99.7105.5
Auto17.5
Teleop94.3
End5.5
red by 2.1
2827
#30
119.612.6
93.6106.1
Auto17.7
Teleop91.1
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed