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Red174
2543123.9
3341122.7
502596.9
Blue390
624170.6
1972120.3
6995106.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284264100200400500174390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2543
#40
123.99.4
106.7116.0
Auto14.6
Teleop94.6
End13.6
blue by 46.8
624
#12
170.67.8
132.3140.1
Auto20.6
Teleop129.3
End19.3
Second
3341
#19
122.79.2
96.9106.1
Auto15.5
Teleop92.1
End18.2
red by 2.4
1972
#27
120.35.5
90.696.0
Auto14.9
Teleop88.3
End19.9
Third
5025
#57
96.93.3
95.498.8
Auto15.5
Teleop77.5
End5.9
blue by 9.7
6995
#39
106.63.0
85.088.0
Auto14.2
Teleop82.2
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned