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Red228
4919102.9
3045108.9
4711120.4
Blue330
3749136.1
3953129.5
5012135.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2243420100300400500600700228330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4711
#56
120.44.6
112.3116.9
Auto18.6
Teleop93.2
End11.9
blue by 15.7
136.110.4
88.899.2
Auto17.3
Teleop103.3
End17.6
Second
3045
#49
108.93.1
103.0106.1
Auto14.4
Teleop87.1
End3.8
blue by 27.0
5012
#20
135.99.3
117.5126.8
Auto16.6
Teleop103.6
End14.1
Third
4919
#33
102.96.3
84.490.7
Auto15.3
Teleop86.7
End2.1
blue by 26.7
3953
#17
129.510.8
99.5110.3
Auto14.6
Teleop97.7
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed