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Red260
597139.5
3128149.7
1266119.4
Blue294
1572153.9
3328114.2
624170.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274307100200400500260294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.73.4
117.1120.4
Auto18.8
Teleop110.8
End22.7
blue by 21.0
624
#12DQ
170.69.5
140.1149.6
Auto20.6
Teleop129.3
End19.3
Second
597
#26
139.53.8
125.1128.9
Auto17.4
Teleop109.3
End14.5
blue by 14.3
153.92.7
123.9126.5
Auto19.7
Teleop116.4
End21.2
Third
1266
#59
119.40.8
111.3112.0
Auto13.3
Teleop95.1
End7.5
red by 5.2
3328
#34
114.22.5
100.8103.3
Auto15.5
Teleop89.4
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed