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Red197
502596.9
4486143.9
5477102.9
Blue423
2839153.5
3965124.6
3749136.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2553010100200400500600700197423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4486
#18
143.95.5
121.4126.9
Auto16.7
Teleop107.0
End22.1
blue by 9.6
153.58.8
108.5117.3
Auto21.2
Teleop102.0
End36.5
Second
5477
#47
102.91.5
97.098.5
Auto16.0
Teleop79.5
End7.1
blue by 33.2
136.15.9
99.2105.1
Auto17.3
Teleop103.3
End17.6
Third
5025
#57
96.90.7
98.899.5
Auto15.5
Teleop77.5
End5.9
blue by 27.7
3965
#28
124.66.0
107.3113.2
Auto17.2
Teleop91.9
End15.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed