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Red232
682197.9
6920104.8
3256140.4
Blue284
6695128.0
3473128.6
4919102.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2562670100200400500600700800232284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3256
#21
140.41.8
124.2126.0
Auto19.4
Teleop108.9
End12.7
red by 11.8
3473
#15
128.64.8
116.1120.9
Auto17.8
Teleop100.8
End9.5
Second
6920
#43
104.85.1
97.1102.2
Auto13.7
Teleop84.6
End4.8
blue by 23.2
6695
#23
128.05.8
107.6113.4
Auto20.6
Teleop97.2
End9.4
Third
6821
#58
97.92.7
94.397.0
Auto14.9
Teleop80.7
End1.0
blue by 4.9
4919
#33
102.93.6
90.794.3
Auto15.3
Teleop86.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed