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Red161
6885105.0
3021132.5
2576108.2
Blue371
1538170.4
2543123.9
3953129.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2273450100300400500600700161371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3021
#25
132.57.4
111.8119.2
Auto14.9
Teleop102.1
End17.5
blue by 37.9
170.45.0
144.7149.8
Auto17.7
Teleop132.2
End24.0
Second
2576
#54
108.21.9
101.5103.4
Auto17.1
Teleop85.1
End6.7
blue by 21.3
3953
#17
129.56.1
110.3116.4
Auto14.6
Teleop97.7
End17.7
Third
6885
#48
105.03.9
99.1102.9
Auto15.3
Teleop83.1
End6.8
blue by 18.9
2543
#40
123.94.6
116.0120.7
Auto14.6
Teleop94.6
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed