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Red133
2827119.6
3045108.9
4139104.5
Blue90
1280127.5
638296.2
6659111.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245265010020030040050060070013390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2827
#30
119.67.1
106.1113.2
Auto17.7
Teleop91.1
End10.0
blue by 7.9
1280
#31
127.53.3
117.3120.6
Auto18.0
Teleop95.5
End13.4
Second
3045
#49
108.91.4
106.1107.6
Auto14.4
Teleop87.1
End3.8
blue by 2.4
6659
#22
111.34.8
94.198.9
Auto14.3
Teleop89.1
End9.6
Third
4139
#42
104.54.1
92.296.3
Auto14.1
Teleop77.6
End16.2
red by 8.3
6382
#44
96.25.9
90.095.9
Auto13.4
Teleop77.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed