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Red183
5474103.7
3341122.7
5137128.6
Blue375
5012135.9
2102143.3
4201142.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2393420100200300400500600183375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5137
#51
128.63.9
119.2123.1
Auto15.5
Teleop90.4
End25.7
blue by 14.7
2102
#37
143.33.9
116.4120.3
Auto19.9
Teleop105.1
End21.5
Second
3341
#19
122.74.5
106.1110.6
Auto15.5
Teleop92.1
End18.2
blue by 19.4
4201
#14
142.14.4
130.0134.4
Auto17.5
Teleop112.4
End11.0
Third
5474
#61
103.76.9
92.899.7
Auto15.4
Teleop79.9
End7.1
blue by 32.2
5012
#20
135.95.0
126.8131.8
Auto16.6
Teleop103.6
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed