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Red231
5429144.9
5514107.0
4738121.7
Blue432
3128149.7
6695128.0
3749136.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290288250300350400231432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5429
#16
144.97.1
128.9136.0
Auto16.4
Teleop107.2
End21.9
blue by 4.8
149.72.3
120.4122.7
Auto18.8
Teleop110.8
End22.7
Second
4738
#55
121.72.0
112.2114.2
Auto17.5
Teleop94.3
End5.5
blue by 14.4
136.16.2
105.1111.3
Auto17.3
Teleop103.3
End17.6
Third
5514
#63
107.03.6
102.1105.7
Auto13.5
Teleop83.2
End9.5
blue by 21.0
6695
#23
128.04.1
113.4117.5
Auto20.6
Teleop97.2
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed