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Red247
682197.9
1661102.6
2576108.2
Blue346
6995106.6
1572153.9
5199118.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2302810100200400500247346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2576
#54
108.21.4
103.4104.9
Auto17.1
Teleop85.1
End6.7
blue by 45.6
153.92.3
126.5128.8
Auto19.7
Teleop116.4
End21.2
Second
1661
#50
102.62.9
109.7106.8
Auto15.2
Teleop83.8
End5.3
blue by 15.7
5199
#52
118.31.9
118.3116.4
Auto15.8
Teleop86.5
End15.8
Third
6821
#58
97.90.8
97.097.8
Auto14.9
Teleop80.7
End1.0
blue by 8.7
6995
#39
106.61.6
94.095.6
Auto14.2
Teleop82.2
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed