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Red242
1280127.5
2543123.9
370493.0
Blue350
6515108.5
6920104.8
597139.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252264100150200300350400450242350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1280
#31
127.51.0
120.6121.6
Auto18.0
Teleop95.5
End13.4
blue by 12.0
597
#26
139.52.7
128.9131.6
Auto17.4
Teleop109.3
End14.5
Second
2543
#40
123.92.6
120.7123.3
Auto14.6
Teleop94.6
End13.6
red by 15.3
6515
#41
108.51.5
100.7102.2
Auto14.7
Teleop88.7
End4.0
Third
3704
#65
93.00.9
97.696.7
Auto13.3
Teleop74.6
End9.7
blue by 11.8
6920
#43
104.82.4
102.2104.5
Auto13.7
Teleop84.6
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed