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Red402
6755100.2
2659158.6
2984132.7
Blue250
3328114.2
5137128.6
5477102.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279263150200250300350400402250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
158.68.2
119.9128.1
Auto25.0
Teleop116.2
End21.1
red by 29.9
5137
#51
128.62.2
123.1125.3
Auto15.5
Teleop90.4
End25.7
Second
2984
#13
132.75.6
106.9112.5
Auto18.4
Teleop102.6
End13.5
red by 18.5
3328
#34
114.22.1
103.3105.4
Auto15.5
Teleop89.4
End8.5
Third
6755
#36
100.21.1
89.490.5
Auto16.1
Teleop78.0
End4.9
blue by 2.7
5477
#47
102.90.5
98.599.0
Auto16.0
Teleop79.5
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned15%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed