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Red394
1622148.5
2839153.5
2613116.4
Blue215
4270119.4
2102143.3
638296.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293285250350394215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.58.1
117.3125.4
Auto21.2
Teleop102.0
End36.5
red by 10.2
2102
#37
143.34.2
120.3124.5
Auto19.9
Teleop105.1
End21.5
Second
1622
#24
148.53.3
127.4130.6
Auto16.2
Teleop107.6
End28.4
red by 29.1
4270
#46
119.44.5
111.8116.2
Auto15.3
Teleop87.5
End18.0
Third
2613
#29
116.41.2
103.8105.0
Auto14.1
Teleop90.7
End12.5
red by 20.3
6382
#44
96.22.9
95.998.9
Auto13.4
Teleop77.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed