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Red282
812109.0
3953129.5
458399.0
Blue356
3882148.4
4984143.9
1266119.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions238334100200300400500600282356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3953
#17
129.53.6
116.4120.0
Auto14.6
Teleop97.7
End17.7
blue by 18.8
3882
#45
148.46.0
123.3129.3
Auto18.7
Teleop108.0
End22.1
Second
812
#62
109.01.8
111.0109.3
Auto16.2
Teleop90.1
End-0.8
blue by 34.9
143.96.2
120.9127.1
Auto17.1
Teleop105.5
End24.0
Third
4583
#66
99.02.1
98.7100.8
Auto14.0
Teleop76.2
End4.8
blue by 20.3
1266
#59
119.40.6
112.0112.6
Auto13.3
Teleop95.1
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed