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Red211
4201142.1
502596.9
3473128.6
Blue161
6885105.0
4014119.1
2827119.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296265100200400500211161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#14
142.14.6
134.4139.0
Auto17.5
Teleop112.4
End11.0
red by 22.5
2827
#30
119.64.1
113.2117.3
Auto17.7
Teleop91.1
End10.0
Second
3473
#15
128.63.4
120.9124.3
Auto17.8
Teleop100.8
End9.5
red by 9.5
4014
#38
119.16.9
108.4115.3
Auto14.2
Teleop90.0
End12.8
Third
5025
#57
96.90.0
99.599.5
Auto15.5
Teleop77.5
End5.9
blue by 8.1
6885
#48
105.02.2
102.9105.1
Auto15.3
Teleop83.1
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed