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Red379
6995106.6
1622148.5
4738121.7
Blue292
2659158.6
5209120.7
597139.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262348100200300400500600379292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#24
148.54.8
130.6135.4
Auto16.2
Teleop107.6
End28.4
blue by 10.0
158.68.9
128.1137.0
Auto25.0
Teleop116.2
End21.1
Second
4738
#55
121.71.7
114.2115.9
Auto17.5
Teleop94.3
End5.5
blue by 17.8
597
#26
139.53.1
131.6134.6
Auto17.4
Teleop109.3
End14.5
Third
6995
#39
106.63.1
95.698.6
Auto14.2
Teleop82.2
End12.4
blue by 14.1
5209
#53
120.71.4
116.6118.0
Auto17.4
Teleop87.1
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed55%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed