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Red236
6885105.0
4160124.5
3341122.7
Blue131
6695128.0
5627124.1
370493.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275273150200250300350236131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4160
#32
124.50.6
127.8128.4
Auto13.1
Teleop100.9
End7.3
blue by 3.5
6695
#23
128.06.3
117.5123.8
Auto20.6
Teleop97.2
End9.4
Second
3341
#19
122.74.8
113.3118.1
Auto15.5
Teleop92.1
End18.2
blue by 1.4
5627
#60
124.12.5
123.7126.3
Auto16.4
Teleop96.2
End8.3
Third
6885
#48
105.00.3
105.1105.4
Auto15.3
Teleop83.1
End6.8
red by 11.9
3704
#65
93.01.0
96.795.7
Auto13.3
Teleop74.6
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed