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Red127
458399.0
597139.5
5474103.7
Blue295
2485147.5
6755100.2
3045108.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245313100200400500127295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#26
139.52.6
134.6137.2
Auto17.4
Teleop109.3
End14.5
blue by 8.0
2485
#10
147.55.1
137.4142.5
Auto22.1
Teleop111.0
End14.2
Second
5474
#61
103.70.0
105.3105.3
Auto15.4
Teleop79.9
End7.1
blue by 5.2
3045
#49
108.90.4
109.6109.2
Auto14.4
Teleop87.1
End3.8
Third
4583
#66
99.01.3
102.6101.4
Auto14.0
Teleop76.2
End4.8
blue by 1.2
6755
#36
100.23.6
94.498.0
Auto16.1
Teleop78.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed