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Red330
2827119.6
3256140.4
5627124.1
Blue136
1266119.4
5514107.0
1661102.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284291150200250350400450330136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3256
#21
140.413.7
95.9109.6
Auto19.4
Teleop108.9
End12.7
red by 21.1
1266
#59
119.414.8
85.6100.4
Auto13.3
Teleop95.1
End7.5
Second
5627
#60
124.115.3
80.796.0
Auto16.4
Teleop96.2
End8.3
red by 17.1
5514
#63DQ
107.016.5
70.486.9
Auto13.5
Teleop83.2
End9.5
Third
2827
#30
119.617.3
63.480.7
Auto17.7
Teleop91.1
End10.0
red by 17.0
1661
#50
102.614.4
89.0103.4
Auto15.2
Teleop83.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed