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Red380
597139.5
4201142.1
3953129.5
Blue5
1972120.3
4139104.5
724989.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32623001002004005006003805

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#14
142.113.5
97.2110.8
Auto17.5
Teleop112.4
End11.0
red by 21.8
1972
#27
120.316.9
66.783.6
Auto14.9
Teleop88.3
End19.9
Second
597
#26
139.514.1
92.1106.2
Auto17.4
Teleop109.3
End14.5
red by 35.0
4139
#42
104.517.6
60.778.2
Auto14.1
Teleop77.6
End16.2
Third
3953
#17
129.516.5
69.686.2
Auto14.6
Teleop97.7
End17.7
red by 40.3
7249
#64
89.211.5
89.277.7
Auto12.9
Teleop70.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed