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Red203
5209120.7
4616101.4
6695128.0
Blue334
5012135.9
4270119.4
4984143.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248305100200400500203334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6695
#23
128.015.8
76.191.9
Auto20.6
Teleop97.2
End9.4
blue by 15.9
143.916.0
74.690.6
Auto17.1
Teleop105.5
End24.0
Second
5209
#53
120.716.4
71.387.7
Auto17.4
Teleop87.1
End14.0
blue by 15.2
5012
#20
135.914.1
91.6105.7
Auto16.6
Teleop103.6
End14.1
Third
4616
#35
101.418.6
51.670.2
Auto15.7
Teleop79.6
End5.7
blue by 18.0
4270
#46
119.415.9
75.291.1
Auto15.3
Teleop87.5
End18.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed