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Red70
6515108.5
724989.2
5209120.7
Blue442
3749136.1
2658137.7
1572153.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183396010030050060070070442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5209
#53
120.71.0
119.6120.7
Auto17.4
Teleop87.1
End14.0
blue by 33.2
153.96.8
138.2145.0
Auto19.7
Teleop116.4
End21.2
Second
6515
#41
108.52.7
105.8108.5
Auto14.7
Teleop88.7
End4.0
blue by 29.2
137.71.7
134.5136.2
Auto18.3
Teleop105.4
End12.6
Third
7249
#64
89.21.2
88.189.2
Auto12.9
Teleop70.8
End6.1
blue by 46.9
136.15.1
126.7131.8
Auto17.3
Teleop103.3
End17.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed