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Red132
4201142.1
1266119.4
4616101.4
Blue355
4160124.5
2659158.6
2543123.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275314150200250350400450500132355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#14
142.11.7
141.3143.0
Auto17.5
Teleop112.4
End11.0
blue by 16.4
158.66.0
143.5149.5
Auto25.0
Teleop116.2
End21.1
Second
1266
#59
119.41.1
118.2119.4
Auto13.3
Teleop95.1
End7.5
blue by 5.1
4160
#32
124.52.9
127.4124.5
Auto13.1
Teleop100.9
End7.3
Third
4616
#35
101.43.2
98.3101.4
Auto15.7
Teleop79.6
End5.7
blue by 22.5
2543
#40
123.91.0
124.8123.8
Auto14.6
Teleop94.6
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed