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Red420
971179.0
973187.8
972119.6
Blue220
2383163.6
604159.9
100132.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362325200250300400450500550420220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#1
187.81.0
185.8186.8
Auto26.3
Teleop132.8
End31.3
red by 24.2
2383
#11
163.60.6
162.6163.2
Auto19.7
Teleop127.7
End15.4
Second
971
#4
179.00.6
177.9178.5
Auto24.1
Teleop126.7
End28.0
red by 19.1
604
#2
159.90.7
158.6159.4
Auto17.0
Teleop127.0
End13.5
Third
972
#30
119.60.1
119.3119.4
Auto16.8
Teleop93.8
End7.0
blue by 12.8
100
#28
132.40.1
132.3132.4
Auto16.7
Teleop96.6
End19.1