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Quarterfinal 4-32018 San Francisco Regional
Red399
649155.4
5026145.6
5507143.3
Blue232
2551138.5
6418146.0
6415143.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338313150200250400450500550399232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#6
155.40.2
155.8→155.6
Auto21.2
Teleop117.9
End12.0
red by 9.4
6418
#8
146.00.9
145.1→146.0
Auto19.5
Teleop105.5
End21.5
Second
5026
#3
145.60.8
143.5→144.2
Auto22.3
Teleop109.0
End13.0
red by 2.5
6415
#23
143.10.0
143.0→143.1
Auto16.5
Teleop116.7
End8.8
Third
5507
#13
143.30.4
142.1→142.5
Auto17.2
Teleop108.9
End15.2
red by 4.8
2551
#22
138.50.1
138.4→138.5
Auto17.1
Teleop105.5
End12.0