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Red220
649155.4
5026145.6
5507143.3
Blue415
2551138.5
6418146.0
6415143.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions350301150200250400450500550220415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#6
155.40.0
155.7155.8
Auto21.2
Teleop117.9
End12.0
red by 9.4
146.00.8
144.3145.1
Auto19.5
Teleop105.5
End21.5
Second
145.61.0
142.4143.5
Auto22.3
Teleop109.0
End13.0
red by 2.5
6415
#23
143.10.1
143.1143.0
Auto16.5
Teleop116.7
End8.8
Third
5507
#13
143.30.7
141.5142.1
Auto17.2
Teleop108.9
End15.2
red by 4.8
2551
#22
138.50.0
138.5138.4
Auto17.1
Teleop105.5
End12.0