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Quarterfinal 2-12018 San Francisco Regional
Red322
199136.9
5499146.3
6036134.8
Blue231
5940135.1
2489127.3
5700128.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344288100150200250400450500322231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5499
#5
146.31.0
142.9→143.9
Auto20.1
Teleop110.8
End15.6
red by 11.2
5940
#18
135.10.5
134.2→134.7
Auto16.9
Teleop104.2
End14.3
Second
199
#12
136.90.6
134.9→135.5
Auto17.1
Teleop102.0
End15.8
red by 8.8
5700
#20
128.10.5
127.2→127.7
Auto15.1
Teleop94.1
End22.7
Third
6036
#17
134.80.7
132.5→133.2
Auto18.1
Teleop101.3
End14.6
red by 7.5
2489
#7
127.30.3
126.8→127.1
Auto14.3
Teleop96.5
End17.4