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Red381
2383163.6
604159.9
100132.4
Blue172
649155.4
5026145.6
5507143.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339316150200250400450500381172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2383
#11
163.60.5
161.6162.1
Auto19.7
Teleop127.7
End15.4
red by 8.2
649
#6
155.40.0
155.6155.6
Auto21.2
Teleop117.9
End12.0
Second
604
#2
159.90.7
157.3158.0
Auto17.0
Teleop127.0
End13.5
red by 14.3
145.60.8
144.2145.0
Auto22.3
Teleop109.0
End13.0
Third
100
#28
132.40.0
132.3132.3
Auto16.7
Teleop96.6
End19.1
blue by 10.9
5507
#13
143.30.5
142.5143.0
Auto17.2
Teleop108.9
End15.2